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Coffee prices on the boil in Vietnam

By Rajiv Menon
1 min read
Aromas Coffee Roasters
Aromas Coffee Roasters
In this article (5)

Robusta coffee prices have risen to a record VND68,000 ($2.79) per kilogram, up 76% since the beginning of this year.

Prices have also been rising globally. On Monday rose by $10-39 per ton to $2,551-2,566 in London.

The prices of Arabica, another coffee variety, rose in New York by 0.45-0.95 cents per pound to $158-162. A kilogram equals 2.2 pounds.

Vu Duc Con, deputy director of the Dak Lak Department of Agriculture and Rural Development, said one of the reasons for the rising prices is that the harvest season has yet to arrive while stocks from the previous season have mostly been sold.

He added that prices would be more reasonable in the next two months when the coffee crop ripens.

Hung, owner of a coffee factory in the Central Highlands province of Dak Lak, said farmers sold out their coffee stocks around a month ago.

He is not buying now since the high prices would hit his profit margin.

The Vietnam Coffee Cocoa Association has forecast coffee yields to drop by 10-15% in the 2022-2023 season to 1.47 million tons due to high heat.

In Dak Lak, authorities expect outputs to decline since farmers have been switching to growing other crops such as durian and avocado.

In the first eight months Vietnam’s average coffee export price reached a new peak of $3,054 per ton, up nearly 30% year-on-year.

The coffee was shipped to 38 markets, with the E.U. and U.S. being the largest buyers.

Questions & Answers

Q.

What is causing coffee prices to rise in Vietnam?

A.

Prices are increasing because the harvest season has not started yet, and most stocks from the previous season have already been sold. This limited supply contributes to the current high prices.

Q.

When are coffee prices expected to become more reasonable?

A.

Vu Duc Con stated that prices should become more reasonable in the next two months. This is when the new coffee crop is expected to ripen, increasing the available supply.

Q.

Why are some coffee farmers in Dak Lak switching to other crops?

A.

Authorities in Dak Lak expect coffee outputs to decline because farmers are choosing to grow other crops. They are reportedly switching to durian and avocado instead of coffee.

Q.

What is the forecast for coffee yields in the 2022-2023 season?

A.

The Vietnam Coffee Cocoa Association forecasts a 10-15% drop in coffee yields for the 2022-2023 season. This reduction, to 1.47 million tons, is attributed to high heat conditions.

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