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European Luxury Groups Shed €250 Billion as China Demand Slumps

By Sarah ChenChina
2 min read
MK BJ669 LVMH G 20110204165819
MK BJ669 LVMH G 20110204165819
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European luxury groups shed approximately €250 billion in market value this year as spending across mainland China slowed sharply. The decline forced earnings misses at LVMH, Kering and Hermes after a prolonged property downturn and financial market weakness eroded high-end consumption.

Europe’s six largest listed luxury houses, including Richemont, Prada and Moncler, absorbed combined market capitalisation losses of €251 billion. LVMH lost €131.6 billion in value, while Hermes surrendered €93.3 billion as Chinese retail sales growth averaged under 0.5 per cent monthly over the past six months.

Contracting Sales Across Major Houses

Third-quarter disclosures pointed to widespread deterioration in client demand. Sales at LVMH’s fashion and leather goods division dropped by a mid-teens percentage among Chinese shoppers worldwide.

Kering experienced an even sharper contraction. Group revenue from Chinese consumers fell between 15 and 20 per cent during the third quarter, worsening from the mid-teens decline recorded in the previous three months.

Hermes recorded a 2 per cent decline in global ready-to-wear and accessories revenue. The house faced headwinds from falling equity prices in China alongside tighter regulatory scrutiny on overseas capital.

Tax Pressures and Market Contraction

Chinese authorities enacted a 20 per cent tax targeting dividends and interest income generated from offshore trusts. The policy took effect this week, adding fiscal pressure on affluent domestic shoppers who drive personal luxury sales.

Financial markets offered no buffer. The CSI 300 index dropped 19 per cent over four months, erasing more than US$2 trillion in value as investors pulled back over domestic consumption trends and technology equity volatility.

Broader consumer sentiment weakened alongside personal balance sheets, as the property slump and falling stock markets undermined domestic demand.

Divergence in Luxury Resilience

The downturn did not cut evenly across every luxury brand. Hermes expanded sales of Birkin bags and top-tier leather goods by 10.8 per cent globally, sustained by ultra-wealthy buyers.

Fine jewellery also held up. LVMH’s Tiffany and Kering’s Boucheron produced double-digit percentage revenue increases during the quarter, outperforming ready-to-wear lines and standard footwear.

Labels reliant on aspirational middle-class shoppers absorbed the heaviest hits. Kering struggled directly as shoppers postponed entry-level purchases, whereas houses anchored strictly to ultra-high-net-worth allocations preserved margin stability.

Pressures Spread Beyond Asian Borders

American spending failed to offset the drag from mainland China. Citi credit card transaction figures showed luxury purchasing falls of at least 4 per cent across July, August and September.

Rising fuel costs and cooling stock performance curtailed discretionary outlays in the United States. Kering confirmed mounting strain on American household expenditure heading into the November elections.

For luxury operators in Asia, capital allocations will shift from aggressive footprint expansion toward cost controls and productivity gains per square metre.

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