The Asia Pacific region is becoming an increasingly significant catalyst in bolstering worldwide trade resilience, despite international commerce encountering numerous challenges due to policy fluctuations. This finding is part of a recent update to the DHL Global Connectedness Tracker, produced in collaboration with New York University’s Stern School of Business. This update is the first systematic evaluation of the responses of international trade and business investment to alterations in U.S. trade policy during the second term of President Trump.
According to Ken Lee, DHL Express’s CEO for Asia Pacific, the region has exhibited unique adaptability and strategic positioning. “The latest data illustrates how cooperation within the region is intensifying, even amidst global uncertainty,” said Lee. He pointed out that businesses in the Asia Pacific are demonstrating agility and a forward-thinking attitude, from the ASEAN’s growing role in accommodating trade flows to Asia Pacific countries engaging more intensively with neighboring nations. Lee emphasised that DHL is well-placed to assist its customers in navigating any changes in trade patterns and pledged to continue developing capabilities in customer-preferred locations.
In the first half of 2025, the DHL Global Connectedness Tracker indicated that international trade grew at an unprecedented pace, unmatched by any previous half-year since 2010, barring the pandemic recovery. There was a significant surge in U.S. imports early in 2025 as purchasers hastened to make purchases before the impending tariff increases. After this initial rush, global trade volumes continued to exceed the levels of the previous year.
On examining the world’s 100 largest trade routes, six out of the ten fastest-growing were exports from an Asian economy, emphasising Asia’s integral role in propelling global trade. Notably, Hong Kong SAR, Thailand, Malaysia, and Vietnam were among the top 10 fastest-growing markets, underlining Asia Pacific’s increasing influence and durability in supply chain networks.
Intra-Asia trade demonstrated ongoing integration and burgeoning connections. The intra-regional trade share of East Asia & Pacific rose from 55% to 56%. Furthermore, the greatest reductions in trade distances were observed in countries including Thailand, China, Singapore, and Hong Kong SAR. These shifts represent Asian economies’ redirection of trade flows towards regional partners to sustain growth and their efforts to boost infrastructure and connectivity, thereby enhancing the attractiveness of participating in cross-border trade.
Despite a 15% decrease in exports to the U.S. during the first eight months of 2025, China fully balanced this loss with a 15% rise in exports to the ASEAN region. ASEAN emerged as a significant growth destination for Chinese exports, signifying the region’s increasing relevance in China’s trade portfolio. Vietnam, Thailand, and India witnessed the most substantial increases in their share of China’s exports, while the U.S., Russia, Korea, Brazil, and Mexico experienced decreases.
Reflecting on the latest trends, Prof. Steven A. Altman, Director of the DHL Initiative on Globalization at NYU Stern’s Centre for the Future of Management, stated, “The trends in trade and international business investment thus far in 2025 do not substantiate the belief that globalisation is in regression.” He noted that despite existing policy threats to globalisation, companies are not generally retreating from international markets. Instead, they are managing risks and opportunities in a connected world.
What factors have contributed to the Asia Pacific region’s role in driving global trade resilience?
Adaptability, strategic positioning, and increased collaboration among countries in the region have played major roles in solidifying the Asia Pacific’s position in global trade.
How has the ASEAN region become a crucial aspect of China’s export strategy?
Despite a drop in exports to the U.S., China has compensated by increasing exports to the ASEAN region by 15%. This shift highlights the growing importance of ASEAN in China’s trade portfolio.
What trends in global trade have been observed during 2025?
Despite policy shocks and tariff turbulence, global trade has grown significantly. Asian economies, in particular, have demonstrated resilience by adjusting trade flows towards regional partners and enhancing infrastructure and connectivity.
