Gold prices managed to trade above the psychological resistance of $1,100 per Oz on US day session Monday.
Platinum for October delivery dropped Dollars (90.49 percent) to close at USD 995.00 per ounce. Spot prices earlier reached a three-week high of $1,126.31, 4.5% above last month’s low. Bullion rose in the previous five days.
The rebound that began at the start of this week broke out above a prolonged consolidation pattern just above late July’s new 5-year intraday low of 1077. So far, there’s no telling how the Fed will react to China’s surprising currency devaluation, after some positive economic news earlier today.
“Transparency is always better than having to guess what is happening in the market“, Michael Widmer, head of metal markets research at Bank of America Corp.in London, said by phone. Asian stocks turned mixed as investors weighed the implications of the surprise move, which seemed to end months of officially sanctioned yuan strength. “So some haven seekers have been returning”.
Gold is ripping higher on Wednesday. It was likely a combination of a temporary slump in the US dollar as market players took profit of long USD trades, and a positivity that the lower renminbi and upcoming stimulus would revive China’s exports growth and subsequently commodity demand. There is also some market conjecture that perhaps this week’s events will cause the Federal Reserve to hold off starting its expected tightening of interest rates yet this year. “I think the point of “liftoff” is close”, Lockhart said in a speech to the Atlanta Press Club. That, however, was predicated on the assumption that the Fed would defer the interest rate hike beyond September.
The dollar’s moves in U.S. trading were subdued, which meant the PBOC could set Friday’s reference below Thursday’s 6.4010, at around 6.39, said Sean Callow, senior currency strategist at Westpac. On Wednesday, the U.S. Department of Energy will release its own more closely watched figures on the same stockpiles. If the metal were as valueless as a pet rock, as one Wall Street Journal op-ed recently claimed, why would they bother to do this? “This is an act of desperation by the Chinese….”
US central bankers could raise rates for the first time in almost a decade at a September 16-17 meeting.
To the extent that the Chinese devaluation reflects economic weakness in China, this will be negative for large U.S. multinationals that do business in that country (and others affected by the currency wars). The government is scheduled to report both weekly jobless claims and July retail sales at 8:30 a.m. EDT.
