July 19, 2026

Dollar Takes a Tumble Against the Dong: What Retailers Need to Know

Australian dollar
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In a fluctuating market, the U.S. dollar is showing signs of weakness against the Vietnamese dong and other major currencies this Monday morning. Vietcombank reported a slight decrease in the dollar selling rate to VND26,451, down by 0.008% since the weekend. Meanwhile, the currency was trading approximately at VND26,650 on the black market, showcasing the ongoing shifts in value.

Fed on the Sidelines as Government Shutdown Looms

The depth of the dollar’s decline is echoed worldwide, driven in part by investor anxiety about a potential U.S. government shutdown. Such a closure would delay the release of the September payrolls report and other critical economic indicators, according to Reuters. Analysts warn that an extended government shutdown would leave the Federal Reserve with little guidance on the economy ahead of its meeting scheduled for October 29.

Market Analysis Indicates Cautious Optimism

In a note from analysts at BofA, it was suggested that if the shutdown extends past the Fed meeting, policy decisions will shift to reliance on private data. “On the margin, we think this may lower the likelihood of an October cut, but only marginally,” they observed. The dollar index retreated by 0.2% to 97.952, after benefiting from positive economic news the previous week.

Meanwhile, the euro made a modest gain, inching up to $1.1726, yet is still sitting comfortably in the lower half of its recent trading range between $1.1646 and $1.1918. The dollar also weakened against the yen, dropping 0.4% to 148.92, following a more than 1% rally last week and distancing from the September low of around 145.50. It’s almost as if the dollar is engaging in a very public game of dodgeball, as it avoids hitting its lowest points.

Questions & Answers

How has the U.S. dollar performed against the Vietnamese dong recently?
The U.S. dollar has weakened against the Vietnamese dong, with the selling rate at VND26,451 as of Monday, reflecting a decrease of 0.008% since the weekend.

What factors are contributing to the dollar’s decline?
Investor concerns about a potential U.S. government shutdown are weighing heavily on the dollar, especially as it threatens to delay critical economic reports that influence Federal Reserve policy.

What are analysts predicting regarding future Federal Reserve actions?
Analysts suggest that if the government shutdown persists, the Federal Reserve may rely more on private data for its decisions, which could slightly reduce the likelihood of an interest rate cut in October.

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